
This site has been deferring this article since September. The retirement number said it plainly: Social Security sits under the number, not inside it, and the spending figure the 25x table uses is what the benefit does not cover. A number with something sitting under it still needs that thing counted. This is that count.
The decision has three names. You can claim at 62, the earliest age the law allows. You can claim at your full retirement age — 67, if you were born in 1960 or later. Or you can wait to 70. Every dollar of the difference is written in SSA rules — the ages and the rates by statute, the dollar amounts re-dated this January — and all of it can be shown step by step on one example benefit.
The Dated Inputs
Six inputs, each from the Social Security Administration, each with a date. Everything below runs on them.
- The 2026 COLA: 2.8 percent, announced 24 October 2025, effective January 2026. The average retired-worker check rises from $2,015 to $2,071 a month, about $56. Over the last decade the COLA averaged about 3.1 percent; in 2025 it was 2.5. (SSA news release, 24 Oct 2025.)
- Full retirement age: 67 for anyone born in 1960 or later. (SSA benefits planner.)
- The early-claiming reduction: 30 percent at 62 for that same group. The SSA’s month-by-month table for a born-in-1960 wage earner: 70.0 percent of the full benefit at 62, climbing month by month to 100 percent at 67. Its worked line elsewhere: a $1,000 benefit at 67 becomes $700 at 62. (SSA benefits planner, Starting Your Retirement Benefits Early.)
- The delayed-retirement credit: 8 percent a year — two-thirds of one percent per month — for anyone born in 1943 or later, from full retirement age to 70, and it stops at 70. (SSA benefits planner.)
- The 2026 earnings test: $24,480 a year exempt below full retirement age, $1 withheld for every $2 above it; $65,160 in the year you reach full retirement age, $1 for every $3. (2026 COLA Fact Sheet.)
- The ceiling, for scale: the maximum 2026 benefit at full retirement age is $4,152 a month, and the earnings cap the tax runs against is $184,500, up from $176,100. (2026 COLA Fact Sheet; the release.)
One example benefit runs through all of it: $2,000 a month at 67 — your primary insurance amount, the figure on your SSA statement. Close to the national average ($2,071), and the average worker claiming at 62 gets about $1,450 of that — the first answer the search engines are asked for, and every other one in this article scales the same way. Change it and everything scales by the same factor; that is the point of a worked example. You can re-run it on your own number.
The Dated Rates: What 62 Costs, What Waiting Buys
The reduction is per month, so the table has to be read month by month. Claiming at 62 is claiming 60 months early for someone whose full retirement age is 67. Each of the 36 months closest to 67 costs 5/9 of one percent; each of the 24 months before that costs 5/12 of one percent. That is 20 percent plus 10 percent: 30 percent off, permanently. $2,000 becomes $1,400.
Waiting works the other way. Each month past 67 adds 2/3 of one percent; twelve months add 8 percent; three years add 24 percent. $2,000 becomes $2,480 at 70.
| You claim at | The rule, dated | Monthly benefit | Against the 67 check |
|---|---|---|---|
| 62 | −30.00% (SSA table for born 1960+) | $1,400 | −$600 |
| 67 | full retirement age = PIA | $2,000 | — |
| 70 | +8.00%/yr for 3 years (SSA credit, born 1943+) | $2,480 | +$480 |
Two details inside those rates, both from the same planner pages. The reduction is permanent: it rides on your benefit for the rest of your life, and because annual COLAs apply to the reduced base, the whole indexed future runs off $1,400, not $2,000. And the credit is not all applied while you wait: if you claim at 69, some of the credits earned in your 69th year are not applied until the January after — the SSA says so on the page. The $2,480 is the full-credit figure at 70.
One Benefit, Run Through Three Ages
Cumulative checks paid, with no investment return — this table is pure cash received from the SSA, which is the only honest way to compute break-even. In real dollars, because both paths get the same COLAs.
| Age | Claim at 62 — $16,800/yr | Claim at 67 — $24,000/yr | Claim at 70 — $29,760/yr |
|---|---|---|---|
| 70 | $134,400 | $72,000 | $0 |
| 75 | $218,400 | $192,000 | $148,800 |
| 80 | $302,400 | $312,000 | $297,600 |
| 85 | $386,400 | $432,000 | $446,400 |

- Claim at 62 — $16,800/yr
- 78 years 8 months
- 80 years 4 months
- Claim at 67 — $24,000/yr
- 82 years 6 months
- Claim at 70 — $29,760/yr
The crossing points, solved rather than eyeballed:
- 62 vs 67: $16,800 × (A − 62) = $24,000 × (A − 67). Break-even at 78 years 8 months.
- 62 vs 70: $16,800 × (A − 62) = $29,760 × (A − 70). Break-even at 80 years 4 months.
- 67 vs 70: $24,000 × (A − 67) = $29,760 × (A − 70). Break-even at 82 years 6 months.
Read the last one again. Waiting from 67 to 70 buys $480 a month and costs five years of $24,000. You do not get it back until 82 and a half. Whether that is a good trade is exactly the question the next two sections reframe.
What Break-Even Means, and What It Does Not
Break-even is the yardstick the incumbents’ pages end on, so it deserves a sentence about what it measures. It measures one thing: cumulative dollars paid by the SSA, assuming the early checks buy nothing. Under that assumption the decision is a bet on your own lifespan — live past 80 and 4 months and waiting to 70 paid; die before it and claiming early paid.
The assumption is not neutral, and that is the polite way to say it. The money you do not receive at 62 does not vanish; for most households it is either spent or it is the money that does not go into the market. If it is spent, break-even is the right table. If it is invested, break-even is the wrong yardstick, and the right one gives a different answer. The search engines’ second question — claim at 62 and invest it, or wait until 70 — is that sentence as a headline.
Claim at 62 and Invest the Checks: Counted
Take the $1,400 a month at 62 and invest it, monthly, until 70. Eight years of checks: $134,400 in contributions. At a 4 percent real return (above inflation — a stated planning assumption, dated here and changeable, not a market forecast) the account stands at $157,617 the month you turn 70.
Now the fair comparison. Path A: claim at 62, invest every check, keep investing everything at the same assumed rate from 70 on, plus $1,400 a month of indexed Social Security for life. Path B: wait, invest every $2,480 check at the same rate from 70 on. Both paths’ checks index with COLA, so the race is in real dollars. The crossing, solved with the account still compounding on both sides:
| Assumed real return | At 70, Path A holds | A overtakes B at about |
|---|---|---|
| 0% (cash, both sides) | $134,400 | 80 y 4 mo — the plain break-even above |
| 2% | $145,511 | 82 y 9 mo |
| 3% | $151,434 | 84 y 4 mo |
| 4% | $157,617 | 86 y 7 mo |
| 6% | $170,802 | 95 y 2 mo |
Read that table slowly, because it is the answer to the question the search engines ask second, and it is not the answer the question carries. Investing the early checks does not make claiming at 62 win earlier. It moves the break-even later. Every row crosses after the plain 80 y 4 mo line, and the 4 percent row crosses just over six years later. The reason is in the structure, not the arithmetic: the account buys back the missing eight years of cash flow, but nothing buys back the permanently smaller indexed annuity — from 70 on you are behind $1,080 every month forever, and the higher the assumed return, the bigger the future value of that permanent gap you have to cover.
Against the life table this site already runs — 43.8 percent of Americans reach 85, a person at 65 lives 19.7 more years on average — the 4 percent row’s 86 y 7 mo means most of the cohort never collects the crossover. If the 70-claimer spends the larger check instead of investing it, the crossings compress to about 81–83 across the same return range, and the early-claim-and-invest path still loses the race at any return a diversified portfolio is planned on.
And the 6 percent row is an average, which is where the second trap sits. Eight years of monthly investing from 62 to 70 is a sequence-of-returns problem: reaching any of these crossings needs the returns to arrive on schedule. A flat decade from 64 to 73 — the kind of window the site’s 4 percent rule, stress-tested counts — delivers an account below the table at 70 and pushes the crossing further right, while the 70-claimer’s $2,480 arrives indexed and on time regardless of the sequence. The invested path carries risk the annuity path does not. Price it or ignore it, but do not pretend the 6 percent row and the waiting path are the same kind of number.
One thing the waiting path never buys, counted honestly: the account outlives you; the check does not. The extra $480 a month stops at death; whatever the invested account holds at 95 goes where you leave it. If a bequest belongs in this decision, the tables above are incomplete — that is a limit of what the SSA’s own arithmetic can price, not a flaw in the strategy.
Claim at 62 and Keep Working: the Earnings Test
The question from the video side of the internet — if you claim at 62, can you still work — has a rule, dated January, and a bill.
Below full retirement age, the first $24,480 of 2026 wages (or net self-employment profit) is exempt. Every dollar past it costs 50 cents of benefit, up to the amount you were due. The year you reach full retirement age the exempt amount is $65,160 and the rate is one-third. From the month you reach 67, there is no limit at all.
- You claim at 62, the check is $1,400 a month — $16,800 a year
- you work all of 2026 earning $40,000
- The excess over the limit: $40,000 − $24,480 = $15,520
- Withheld: $7,760
- You receive $9,040 of the $16,800 you were granted
Count it on the example. You claim at 62, the check is $1,400 a month — $16,800 a year — and you work all of 2026 earning $40,000. The excess over the limit: $40,000 − $24,480 = $15,520. Withheld: $7,760. You receive $9,040 of the $16,800 you were granted — five and a half of twelve monthly checks, gone. Push the wages to $50,000 and the withholding is $12,760, 76 percent of the year’s benefit, with every month of the year a reduced month. The test zeroes a $1,400 check only when wages run past roughly $58,000, and that is the honest statement of the trap: not total confiscation, but a half-rate clawback that runs exactly through the bridge years early claiming was supposed to pay for.
The withheld money is not destroyed — this is the part the rule gets credit for. The SSA recalculates at full retirement age and gives you credit for the months it withheld, which raises the later check. But notice what the mechanism is: your own benefit held back while you work, repaid later as an annuity, after the years you needed the cash have passed.
What counts as earnings: wages, bonuses, commissions, vacation pay, net self-employment profit. What does not: pensions, annuities, investment income, interest, retirement benefits from government or military service. You can earn as much of that second kind as you like while the test runs. The SSA’s own example, on the same page: $800 a month, $33,400 earned, $4,460 withheld, $5,140 of the year’s $9,600 received. The arithmetic above is that example run at this article’s numbers.
Two Asymmetries
The three ages are not three doors of the same kind, and the difference matters more than a point of break-even.
The early door has no verified undo. Once you are at full retirement age and not yet 70, you can ask the SSA to suspend your payments and keep earning the 2/3-of-one-percent credit until 70 — a rule on the SSA’s suspension page, usable while you are already receiving checks. Before full retirement age, that page does not open. A 62-claimer who changes their mind at 64 has, in the text SSA publishes, no way to stop the reduced base from indexing off $1,400 for the rest of their life. The waiting decision can be walked back after it is made; the early decision cannot, except through provisions this article did not find verified text for and therefore will not price.
The waiting door closes at 70. The benefit increase stops when you reach 70 — the credit page says so in those words. Waiting to 71 buys nothing in age-credit terms; after that the only increase left is the COLA, and the 2026 one was 2.8 percent, below the 3.1 percent average of the last decade. Do benefits increase after 70: only with prices.
The Number, Dated
There is no right age in the arithmetic, and any page that ends with one is selling you its author’s assumptions. What the arithmetic does give is the dated shape of the trade — $600 less a month forever at 62, $480 more at 70, break-evens at 78, 80 and 82, a claim-and-invest crossing at about 86 on a fair 4 percent, and an earnings test that can take $7,760 of a $16,800 year — and one question that decides it for you and not for the article:
What is the gap the check is filling, and what is the assumption underneath the gap? If the check bridges two years of wages to 64 and the alternative is the credit card, that is a different number than the same check sitting on top of a portfolio that already pays the bills. The bridge question is answered by your dated spending and savings, and the retirement number is how this site counts that — the number Social Security sits under. If the savings question behind it is which vehicle the benefit coordinates with, the 2026 limits and the match math are already counted. And the input that decides which column of every table above is yours — the exact monthly benefit at each age, computed from your own earnings record — is one login away: your Social Security statement at ssa.gov/myaccount.
Run it at your number, at the lower return and the higher return, and read the gap between the crossings. The break-even ages are robust; they came from the SSA’s dated rates, not the return. The invest-the-checks crossing is not — it moved about fifteen years across the honest assumptions in the table above, cash to equity record.
The number, dated: October 2026, on SSA rates effective January 2026. Re-date it when the 2027 COLA lands, the way you re-date everything else.